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   Investment Thoughts - Macro Observations

 

 

Macro Observations

Analysis, Ideas and Reflections on Macroeconomic Topics

 

 

 

 articles 11-20 / 161   « page 2 of 17 »  
 
Japan: in search of a virtuous cycle
"But perhaps the usefulness of Abenomics will have been to provide a workable game plan for a managed economic decline, in which bond investors pay the Japanese government to borrow."
Lombard Odier, Investment Strategy 2nd quarter 2016

China’s monthly investment data provide first concrete evidence of ‘doubling down’
"Official data published last week confirmed that investment by state-owned enterprises surged during the first three months of this year, with the scale of the turnaround strongly reminiscent of the early 2009 period. "
Fathom Consulting, News in Charts, April 21, 2016

Germany versus ECB: How Dangerous is the Dispute?
Careful what you wish for. For decades, Germans strongly believed in price stability and an independent central bank. Fate and the European Central Bank (ECB) have granted them both wishes.
Berenberg, 20.04.2016 , Holger Schmieding, Chief Economist

The Global Economy Didn’t Change Last Year, Views of QE Did
The stock market is still viewed as if it were a discounting mechanism, a system where information is processed and priced to deliver insight about the fundamental state of liquidity, markets, and the economy. That view has always been debatable, but never more so than the whole of this century so far.
Alhambra Investment Partners, 11.04.2016 , Jeffrey P. Snider

The Global Liquidity Trap Turns More Treacherous
The adoption of negative interest rates will do little to stimulate growth.
Guggenheim Partners, April 07, 2016 , Scott Minerd, Chairman of Investments and Global CIO

Cyprus versus Greece: a lesson in Eurozone reform
Berenberg, Economics, Chart of the week, April 1st, 2016 , Holger Schmieding, Chief Economist; Kallum Pickering, Senior UK Economist

Inflation Alive and Well in the US
We have focused on the theme of the misplaced fear of deflation at Variant Perception frequently over the past 18 months.
Variant Perception, March 2, 2016

Shanghai’d at Shanghai G20?: The Big Threats to Global Bonds
"there is a strong whiff of gun-smoke from the last G20 meeting in Shanghai (26th-27th February 2016), which may have culminated in this week’s mild FOMC Statement by the US Fed. Is this a new Plaza 2?"
CrossBorder Capital, March 18th 2016 , Michael J. Howell

The Dillian Loop
"Interventionism is always praised after the fact. Nobody ever says doing nothing did something."
Mauldin Economics, The 10th Man, March 10th 2016 , Jared Dillian

The Collapse In Global Trade Has Been Greatly Exaggerated
The value of world trade fell in 2015 for the first time since the crisis. However, this reversal was not in trade, but in the dollar price of goods sold for export abroad.
Fathom Consulting, Chart Of The Week, February 29, 2016


 

Themes

 

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression 

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield