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   Investment Thoughts

 

Investment Thoughts

Non-Linear Views on Financial Markets and the Economy

 

 

 articles 11-20 / 715   « page 2 of 72 »  
 
The Broken Window Fallacy
"In 1850, the French economist Frederic Bastiat introduces the concept of opportunity cost with a fallacy in Chapter I of his book “Ce qu’on voit et ce qu’on ne voit pas” (What we see and what we don’t see). In Bastiat’s tale, a man’s son breaks a pane of glass, which ultimately stimulates the economy."
Gavekal Intelligence Software, The Quant Corner, February 2019 , Didier Darcet

The Evolution of Swiss Institutional Investor Portfolios
1920 - 2017
Corestone Investment Managers, 2018

The Scandinavian Monetary Union of 1873
Together with the Latin Monetary Union of 1865, another example of a monetary union that didn't go quite as planned and ended before its 50th Birthday.
InvestmentOffice, February 2019

Shallower Cycles?
"Less vigorous expansions spread over longer periods would entail a fundamental change in the risk/return dynamics of markets and a resulting shift in expectations."
Lobnek Wealth Management, February 2019 , Altug Ulkumen

Events in Time Anniversaries: January 2019
25 years ago: January 1994 50 years ago: January 1969 100 years ago: January 1919 200 years ago: January 1819 300 years ago: January 1719
Global Financial Data, 22 January 2019 , Dr. Brian Taylor

US Banks Haven’t Behaved Like This Since 2009
If there is one thing Ben Bernanke got right, it was this.
Alhambra Investment Partners, December 11, 2018 , Jeffrey P. Snider

Economics Is Easy When You Don’t Have To Try
The real question is why no one says anything. They can continue to make these grossly untrue, often contradictory statements without fear of having to explain themselves. Don’t even think about repercussions. Even in front of politicians ostensibly being there on behalf of the public, pedigree still matters more than results.
Alhambra Investment Partners, December 7, 2018 , Jeffrey P. Snider

Does the Yield Curve Really Forecast Recession?
It's well known that in the United States recessions are often preceded by an inversion of the yield curve. Is there any economic rationale for this?
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Economic Synopses, No. 30, 2018 , David Andolfatto, Andrew Spewak

Labor Force Participation Rates, 25-54 year old
A Strong Economy – But We Can Aim Higher. Remarks by MARY C. DALY President and CEO Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco To the Regional Economic Development for Eastern Idaho (REDI)
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, A Strong Economy – But We Can Aim Higher, Idaho Falls, Idaho November 12, 2018

The financial and business cycles in the United States
"Put differently, calendar time might not be the best way to compare cycles over time."
BIS Working Papers, No 755, Measuring Financial Cycle Time, 7 November 2018 , Andrew Filardo, Marco Lombardi and Marek Raczko


 

Asset Management Switzerland 2015

 For professional investors only

 

 

 

 

Themes

 

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression 

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield