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   Investment Thoughts

 

Investment Thoughts

Non-Linear Views on Financial Markets and the Economy

 

 

 articles 1-10 / 738   page 1 of 74 »  
 
Quick Hit: Digging Into US and European Returns
A look at recent market returns on a geographical basis—and how sector weights may skew your view of them.
Fisher Investments MarketMinder, 07/17/2019 , Editorial Staff

Inflation Expectations and Actual Inflation: 1998 - 2018
Chart excerpt from the article "Has the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations Changed in the United States during the Past Decade?"
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Economic Review, First Quarter 2018 , Taeyoung Doh and Amy Oksol

Time is running out to solve China’s debt bubble
Many investors are focused on the outlook for trade talks with the US, fearing an all-out trade war which would negatively impact global, and especially Chinese, equity markets. But investors underestimate the mounting problems caused by the recent rapid expansion of credit in China. Only radical solutions now remain to resolve the country’s growing credit bubble.
Columbia Threadneedle Investments, July 2019 , Paul Smillie, Senior Investment Analyst

Market expectations for policy rates have shifted dramatically
FOMC policy expectations (OIS)
Aviva Investors, What our House View means for asset allocation and portfolio construction, July 2019 , David Nowakowski

Not all households have reduced debt levels
Ratio of household debt to disposable income
Aviva Investors, The five key themes and risks our House View team expect to drive financial markets, July 2019 , Stewart Robertson

Target Balances in the Euro zone.
Cumulated German surplus with the rest of the Euro zone.
Institut des Libertés, Et voila! L’Allemagne va mal, July 1, 2019 , Charles Gave

The eurozone’s Japanification - more to come
With the eurozone economy stuck in a low growth, low inflation and low rates environment, it's really hard not to make 'Japanification' comparisons. If we're honest, the eurozone is probably already in the thick of it, which means rates are likely to remain lower for longer and every new crisis or recession will bring the bloc closer to more Japanification.
ING, 24th June 2019 , Carsten Brzeski, Chief Economist ING Germany; Inga Fechner, Economist, Germany, Austria

The quest for ‘uncorrelated’ returns. The fall (and rise?) of absolute return funds
The quest for uncorrelated returns can be an expensive pursuit, especially in terms of opportunity cost.
M&G Investments, Episode, 11 June 2019 , Stuart Canning

The Big Bang: Indexing China’s Onshore Bond Market
"Bond portfolio inflows are likely to be a critical funding source for China’s potential current account deficit, with both foreign private and reserve investors poised to raise exposure to China’s onshore bond market. By changing the composition of some of the bond market’s preeminent indices, there will be implications for bond investors, rates, and currencies."
Brandywine Global, Around the Curve, May 28 2019 , Tracy Chen, CFA, CAIA

Reflections on the timelessness of happiness and the oddballs of life
"The link between time and happiness has always been something I found fascinating. Long before grasping the physics of time and space, I was lucky to be exposed to the idea that time represents a subjective state specifically associated with changes in mental stimuli."
Fathom Consulting, Thank Fathom it's Friday, 3 May 2019 , Andrea Zazzarelli


 

Asset Management Switzerland 2015

 For professional investors only

 

 

 

 

Themes

 

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression 

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield