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Investment Thoughts

Non-Linear Views on Financial Markets and the Economy

 

 

 articles 1-10 / 686   page 1 of 69 »  
 
Bloomberg: Prattle Analysis Shows Men Speak 92% of Time on Earnings Calls
Prattle, September 18, 2018

Asian currencies vs. Yuan, rebased at 100 on 31.12.2013
The author (Charles Gave) notes, ten years after the 2008 crisis, a convergence of Asian currencies towards the Yuan, similar to the fluctuation band pattern before the introduction of the Euro.
Institut des Libertés, "Guerre Commerciale Chine/ Etats-Unis" , Charles Gave

...on The Diversification Fata Morgana.
Excerpt
The Diversification Fata Morgana: Capital Account Openness and the Fall and Rise of Stock Market Correlations, 1890-2000 , 2015 , Dennis Quinn and Hans-joachim Voth

...on the Bank of Japan
Hisato Ichimada, Governor of the Bank of Japan, 1946-1954

Shadow Risk in Passive Investing
Excerpt
Artemis Capital Management, October 2017 , Christopher Cole, Founder & CIO of Artemis Capital

A Tangled Tree: A Radical New History of Life
My favorite part of the book is the section, starting on p.244, on bacteria that are resistant to antibiotics that have not yet been invented.
Daily Speculations, September 16, 2018 , Greg Van Kipnis

The Count of Monte Cristo
The Count of Monte Cristo has numerous financial data and speculations in it that shows that during the Napoleonic years there was active speculations.
Daily Speculations, September 16, 2018 , Victor Niederhoffer

Seismic waves
Seismic waves are waves of energy that travel through the Earth's layers. What would be the equivalent in today's markets?
Investment Office, September 2018

The Oxymoron of World Trade
Oxymorons are powerful combinations of contradictory meanings. We encounter oxymorons in every human form of expression attempting a description of reality, whether it be in works of tragedy (“fearful bravery” in Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar), in our daily lives (work that is “almost done”), or even in the projected future of human societies (“artificial intelligence”).
Gavekal Intelligence Software, The Quant Corner, September 2018 , Didier Darcet

Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions
"Furthermore, when interpreting the yield curve evidence, one should keep in mind the adage “correlation is not causation.”
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Economic Letter, August 27, 2018 , Michael D. Bauer and Thomas M. Mertens